Tuesday, May 6, 2014

Volatilities

There is historical volatility and implied volatility. One is an input to the option pricing module, the other is an output of the model. Together they create 4 scenarios

Historical VolatilityImplied VolatilityTrend
LowLowSideways
LowHighExpect a big move
HighLowConsolidate
HighHighTrend Continues

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